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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

North Carolina

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:5.0
Current RPI:5
Expected SOS:20
Current Record:28-6
Expected Record:28-6
Current Conf Record:17-4
Expected Conf Record:17-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:10-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-0
Current OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC RPI:11
Expected OOC SOS:59


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
28-682.35%5.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Carolina.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Temple (60.0)AmerN91-67W100%0.0
11-15Fairfield (142.0)MAACH92-65W100%0.0
11-18Wofford (199.0)SCH78-58W100%0.0
11-21Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCA71-67L0%0.0
11-23Northwestern (115.0)B10N80-69W100%0.0
11-24Kansas St. (92.0)B12N80-70W100%0.0
12-1Maryland (14.0)B10H89-81W100%0.0
12-6Davidson (64.0)A10H98-65W100%0.0
12-12Texas (27.0)B12A84-82L0%0.0
12-16Tulane (227.0)AmerH96-72W100%0.0
12-19UCLA (102.0)P12N76-89W100%0.0
12-21Appalachian St. (259.0)SBH94-70W100%0.0
12-28UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCH96-63W100%0.0
12-30Clemson (131.0)ACCH80-69W100%0.0
1-2Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCH86-78W100%0.0
1-4Florida St. (82.0)ACCA90-106W100%0.0
1-9Syracuse (72.0)ACCA73-84W100%0.0
1-16North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCH67-55W100%0.0
1-20Wake Forest (159.0)ACCH83-68W100%0.0
1-24Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCA70-75W100%0.0
1-30Boston College (250.0)ACCH89-62W100%0.0
2-1Louisville (17.0)ACCA71-65L0%0.0
2-6Notre Dame (31.0)ACCA80-76L0%0.0
2-9Boston College (250.0)ACCA65-68W100%0.0
2-14Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCH85-64W100%0.0
2-17Duke (20.0)ACCH73-74L0%0.0
2-20Miami FL (9.0)ACCH96-71W100%0.0
2-24North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCA68-80W100%0.0
2-27Virginia (3.0)ACCA79-74L0%0.0
2-29Syracuse (72.0)ACCH75-70W100%0.0
3-5Duke (20.0)ACCA72-76W100%0.0
3-10Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCN88-71W100%0.0
3-11Notre Dame (31.0)ACCN78-47W100%0.0
3-12Virginia (3.0)ACCN61-57W100%0.0